There is simply no way to spin this as good news.
An unchastened insurgency sowed devastation across Iraq Wednesday as experts here said the country is either on the verge of civil war or already in the middle of it. In the course of the day: Four car bombs detonated in Baghdad; a man wearing explosives at an army recruitment center in Hawija, north of Baghdad, blew himself and many others up; a car bomb exploded in a marketplace in Tikrit, north of Baghdad; and the country's largest fertilizer plant was heavily damaged by a bomb in the usually quiet southern city of Basra. Meanwhile, U.S. Marines were winding up a remarkable pitched battle against surprisingly well-equipped and determined insurgents on Iraq's western border. Some 76 Iraqis were reported killed and more than 120 wounded in the one day of violence.
With security experts reporting that no major road in the country was safe to travel, some Iraq specialists speculated that the Sunni insurgency was effectively encircling the capital and trying to cut it off from the north, south and west, where there are entrenched Sunni communities. East of Baghdad is a mostly unpopulated desert bordering on Iran.
I recommend you read the whole article. The only question left now is whether the civil war has just begun or has been underway for some time. I take no pleasure in saying "we told you so," but we told you so.
I constantly heard arguments leading up to and during the invasion that if we didn't remove Hussein, then he would just stay in power until he died, to be replaced by one of his sons. I think the latter is false: Qusay was an ineffectual drunk and Udai was hated and arguably psychopathic. The idea that either of them could hold power for any amount of time is questionable at best. The death or fall of Saddam (and I don't think lifelong rule was in any way guaranteed, either) would likely have set off a series of palace coups and an ugly civil war, which is, of course, where Iraq is probably headed now, no matter what we do.
But at least then we wouldn't be stuck in the middle of it, having claimed responsibility for the entire horrific affair. [...] We cannot control this situation. We will not control this situation. How many people - Americans and Iraqis - are we willing to sacrifice before we admit it?
A whopping lot, as it turns out. I wrote that in August 2003. It took a bit longer than I expected to really erupt, but now it has. No major road in the country is safe to travel. Daily civilian death tolls are in double or triple digits. Baghdad gets electricity for eight hours a day with the rest of the country lagging behind that. The oil industry is unable to get production back to pre-war levels. Reconstruction money has disappeared down black holes. And the DoD still has that $300 billion charge sitting on its MasterCard for this lovely state of affairs.
Here's your war, Mr. Bush, the one you proactively sought, the one for which you invented evidence, the one over which your salad-tossing sycophants demonized opponents as, at best, soft-headed and cowardly and at worst, traitorous and anti-American. And for the war supporters in both parties, please look at the carnage that you enabled. Look at the arc of violence (because we're nowhere near the top yet) and tell me how, two years after the fact, you were correct and Iraq is better off than it was before we invaded. Please, look me in the eyes and tell me, so I can decide whether you are hopelessly deluded, grossly dishonest, or just starkly amoral.
TrackBackAnd yet, and yet, I hear little of this in the media. Are you sure it is happening?
Why do we even care about Iraq anymore? Isn't that over now?
Posted by: Tripp at May 12, 2005 11:13 AMI talked with a guy with a neighboring office yesterday. he described himself as moderate-right. He talked about a business opportunity with some former contractors in Iraq. I mentioned Schindler's List, and that he might be able to do right by some people with the money he earns as a war profiteer. He didn't think so. He wanted a lake house. I mentioned that the stated reasons for the war were all incontrovertibly false. He said there were 7 reasons we went to war. I asked him when he first heard the 7 reasons. He said a couple of months ago. I asked him when the war started. He didn't recall, but he knew it was after 9/11.
All this is to say that ignorance is blitz.
Posted by: Lemon Merengue at May 12, 2005 11:16 PMI have enough Trotskyist left in me from the college years that I might have bought into (a) great imperial plan to democratize the World(sans invasions and sanctions of course). I mean, really, we all do love democracy, and a little cooperative military intervention up-side Osama's head is fine. I would support a reasonable plan to spread a little more around : ) I mean, there are great opportunities to fix the World Bank and the UN and make the world safer.
But, plain and simple, that was NOT what we were sold.
Lemon's acquaintance isn't the only person won't admit this. And even more heart-breaking than the carnage, or the sadness over having children who will be left with this long after me and the mizz are in the hole, is just that; you can't tell these creetins SHIT! They just will not listen.
GAH!!! wherse muh crazy pill...
Posted by: Sterling at May 13, 2005 11:42 AMThe death toll figures are disturbing but inadequate in defining the cost in human lives. My medic family member serving in Iraq reports that the field hospitals are filling with individuals that will need permanent, nursing care. They are only listed as injured (and then only if a coalition member). There is not just a death toll, but a large number of the permanently disabled, both Iraqi and American.
Posted by: Ru at May 16, 2005 06:01 PM